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Private Equity

Why Asia’s PE comeback is being led by Megafunds

19 December 2025

The recent wave of megafund raises signals strong institutional confidence in Asia-Pacific's long-term potential, with capital flowing back to the region after a period of caution - though overwhelmingly to a select group of established managers. EQT has surpassed its $12.5 billion target for its ninth pan-regional fund, with a final close expected at the $14.5 billion institutional hard cap in early 2026, and plans to triple its Asia investments to $110 billion over five years. Blackstone has reached $10 billion on its third Asian fund, approaching its $11 billion target, while Bain Capital's second Japan mid-market fund is set to be at least twice the size of its predecessor. These firms can point to strong performance: EQT and Blackstone's post-2017 Asian funds have delivered money multiples equal to or better than their flagship global funds of similar vintages, while KKR expects its third and fourth Asian funds to account for half of its global private equity distributions this year. This fundraising success reflects a broader portfolio rebalancing among limited partners. Warburg Pincus CEO Jeffrey Perlman noted at the Global Financial Leaders' Investment Summit in Hong Kong that allocations are shifting 5-7% away from "hyper exceptional down to exceptional" US exposure, with capital reallocated out of the US likely to flow toward regions like Asia. Yet this represents a selective re-engagement, with LPs willing to return to Asia after holding back directing capital predominantly to a small subset of proven managers with track records and scale.


This concentrated capital deployment reflects a broader recognition of Asia-Pacific's structural position in the global economy. The region is projected to drive two-thirds of global growth over the next decade, underpinned by rapid urbanization, an expanding middle class, and accelerating technological adoption. For many institutional investors, the appeal extends beyond growth alone: it represents a necessary diversification from US-heavy portfolios that have reached what some view as stretched allocations. Trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties have amplified this desire to rebalance, with LPs increasingly viewing meaningful exposure to Asian growth not as opportunistic but as essential to sound portfolio construction. With China and India exerting outsized influence on the world economy, Asia-Pacific has become the world's engine of growth and innovation - a shift that large, established PE managers are positioning themselves to capture at scale.


Among the region's opportunities, Japan has emerged as a particularly compelling destination, benefiting from a decade of structural reforms that have fundamentally reshaped its corporate landscape. Since the introduction of stewardship and corporate governance codes in 2014 and 2015 - subsequently revised to strengthen shareholder accountability and board independence - Japanese companies have become markedly more accessible to external capital. These reforms have dismantled traditional barriers: management-controlled boards are now the exception rather than the rule, votes against directors have increased, and poison pill defenses have declined sharply. The results speak for themselves: private equity investments in Japan delivered 2.4 times the equity capital invested between 2010 and 2024, outperforming any other major market according to Bain & Company.


Beyond governance changes, structural tailwinds are creating robust deal flow. An aging population has intensified business succession challenges among family-owned firms, while pressure from the Tokyo Stock Exchange for companies to improve valuations and government guidelines urging serious consideration of takeover offers have made Japanese businesses more receptive to PE engagement. Cash-rich, lightly leveraged conglomerates are divesting non-core assets, and a proliferation of small public companies presents consolidation opportunities, with take-private deals projected to exceed $40 billion in 2025 according to some estimates. Major global firms including KKR, Ares, Carlyle, and Apollo have expanded Tokyo operations substantially, signalling that Japanese companies once wary of private equity as "hagetaka" (vultures) now increasingly view buyouts as a viable path forward.


India has emerged alongside Japan as one of the two most attractive markets in Asia-Pacific for private equity investors, marking a significant evolution in the region's investment landscape. After two decades of continuous presence and multiple investment-exit cycles, global PE firms have shifted from taking minority stakes in family-owned businesses to pursuing majority control and full ownership across sectors where management talent is readily available. This transformation has been underpinned by converging macro themes - consumption growth, digital transformation at scale, infrastructure development, and manufacturing expansion.


The maturation of India's public markets has created a virtuous cycle for PE success. Sponsors now have reliable, liquid exit pathways beyond traditional PE-to-PE transactions, with the country's IPO market remaining active even during global shutdowns. Recent regulatory reforms, including changes to take-private regulations that introduce fixed-price delisting processes, have further enhanced the investment environment. The depth of India's capital markets, supported by expanding domestic participation and a doubled weighting in MSCI emerging market indices to 19%, has given institutional investors the confidence to deploy larger checks into a market with proven fundamentals and clear pathways to value realization.


The convergence of mega-fund deployments, structural reforms in key markets, and Asia's commanding role in global growth paints a compelling picture for the region's private equity future. Yet important questions remain about the breadth of this capital influx. If institutional investors continue channelling funds exclusively to a handful of established managers, the region's private equity ecosystem risks becoming overly concentrated, limiting strategic diversity and leaving mid-market opportunities undercapitalized. The challenge for Asia-Pacific will be translating renewed LP confidence into a more inclusive recovery - one that supports not only the proven giants deploying billions at scale, but also emerging managers and specialized funds accessing opportunities beyond the megafunds' reach. For now, the message from institutional investors is clear: Asia's long-term fundamentals warrant significant capital allocation, provided it flows through managers with the track records, local expertise, and operational infrastructure to navigate the region's complexity and deliver returns.

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